Will Obama be reelected?

Assume you must make a $1,000 bet on the outcome of the 2012 presidential election. You have to bet right now, and you have a $1,000 stake in getting this right, so this has nothing to do with whether you want him to win.

Will Obama be re-elected?
	Yes.
	No.
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ADDED: Vote count, noted August 26, 2012:

Will Obama be re-elected?
Selection		Votes
Yes.	26%	1,127
No.	74%	3,237
4,364 votes total